Elo Win Rate Formula:
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The Elo rating system is a method for calculating the relative skill levels of players in competitor-versus-competitor games. The win probability formula predicts the likelihood of one player defeating another based on their Elo ratings.
The calculator uses the Elo win probability formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula shows that a player with 400 more rating points than their opponent is 10 times more likely to win than to lose.
Details: The Elo system is widely used in chess, video games, and other competitive games to match players of similar skill levels and predict match outcomes.
Tips: Enter both your Elo rating and your opponent's Elo rating. The calculator will show your expected win rate as a percentage.
Q1: What does a 50% win rate mean?
A: A 50% win rate means both players have equal Elo ratings and are equally likely to win.
Q2: How accurate is the Elo prediction?
A: The prediction becomes more accurate over many games but may not predict single-game outcomes perfectly.
Q3: What's the significance of the 400 number?
A: A 400-point difference means the higher-rated player is expected to win 10 times more often than the lower-rated player.
Q4: Can this be used for team games?
A: Yes, but team Elo systems often use modified formulas to account for team dynamics.
Q5: How do rating changes work after a game?
A: The amount of points gained/lost depends on the actual result versus the expected result (win rate).